Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons — odds movement
Oct 23, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 85 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 85 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 41 h 15 min before tip-off. Miami Heat opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-138) and drifted to 1.78 (-128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Miami Heat 56% → 54%, Detroit Pistons 44% → 46%. The spread held at Miami Heat -2.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 236.5 to 238. The sharpest single move came 40 h 5 min before tip-off: Miami Heat went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Latest | |
| Miami Heat | 1.72 (-138) | 1.78 (-128) |
| Detroit Pistons | 2.22 (+122) | 2.13 (+113) |
| spread | Miami Heat -2.5 · 1.93 (-108) | Miami Heat -2.5 · 2.01 (+101) |
| Total | O/U 236.5 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 238 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).