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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:37 PM ET · 258 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 258 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 35 min before puck drop. Washington Capitals opened as the favorite at 1.45 (-222) and shortened to 1.43 (-233). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Capitals 67% → 68%, Philadelphia Flyers 33% → 32%. The puck line held at Washington Capitals -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Capitals1.45 (-222)1.43 (-233)
Philadelphia Flyers2.92 (+192)3.05 (+205)
puck lineWashington Capitals -1.5 · 2.16 (+116)Washington Capitals -1.5 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 6 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 6 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%41%59%76%Washington Capitals 68%Philadelphia Flyers 32%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
5.566 → 6

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).