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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 509 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 509 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 43 h 20 min before tip-off. Portland Trail Blazers opened as the favorite at 1.35 (-282) and shortened to 1.24 (-418). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sacramento Kings 29% → 21%, Portland Trail Blazers 71% → 79%. The spread moved from Sacramento Kings +7 to Sacramento Kings +10. The total moved down from 233 to 232. The sharpest single move came 12 h 35 min before tip-off: Sacramento Kings went from 25% to 22% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sacramento Kings3.38 (+238)4.59 (+359)
Portland Trail Blazers1.35 (-282)1.24 (-418)
spreadSacramento Kings +7 · 1.94 (-106)Sacramento Kings +10 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 233 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 232 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%36%64%91%Sacramento Kings 21%Portland Trail Blazers 79%
spread · Sacramento Kings
+7+7.5+8.5+9+9.5+10+7 → +10
Total (over/under)
232233233 → 232

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).