Scan with your phone camera Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks — odds movement
Oct 26, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · 314 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 314 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 31 h 5 min before tip-off. Miami Heat opened as the favorite at 1.29 (-345) and drifted to 1.38 (-262). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Miami Heat 74% → 71%, Dallas Mavericks 26% → 29%. The spread moved from Miami Heat -8.5 to Miami Heat -7.5. The total moved up from 233.5 to 240.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 30 min before tip-off: Dallas Mavericks went from 27% to 29% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Miami Heat | 1.29 (-345) | 1.38 (-262) |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3.67 (+267) | 3.34 (+234) |
| spread | Miami Heat -8.5 · 1.91 (-110) | Miami Heat -7.5 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 233.5 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 240.5 · over 1.95 (-105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).