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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 8:40 PM ET · 373 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 373 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 32 h 20 min before tip-off. Houston Rockets opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-226) and drifted to 1.52 (-192). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Rockets 66% → 64%, Atlanta Hawks 34% → 36%. The spread moved from Houston Rockets -5.5 to Houston Rockets -4.5. The total moved up from 228.5 to 229.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Houston Rockets1.44 (-226)1.52 (-192)
Atlanta Hawks2.85 (+185)2.71 (+171)
spreadHouston Rockets -5.5 · 1.93 (-108)Houston Rockets -4.5 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 228.5 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 229.5 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%43%57%72%Houston Rockets 64%Atlanta Hawks 36%
spread · Houston Rockets
-5.5-5-4.5-5.5 → -4.5
Total (over/under)
228.5229.5228.5 → 229.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).