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Korfez Basket vs Trabzonspor — odds movement

Oct 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 140 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 140 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 55 min before tip-off. Trabzonspor opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-168) and drifted to 1.61 (-163). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Korfez Basket 43% → 43%, Trabzonspor 57% → 57%. The spread held at Korfez Basket +3 the whole way. The total moved up from 166.5 to 173.5. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before tip-off: Korfez Basket went from 40% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Korfez Basket2.14 (+114)2.11 (+111)
Trabzonspor1.60 (-168)1.61 (-163)
spreadKorfez Basket +3 · 1.84 (-119)Korfez Basket +3 · 1.83 (-120)
TotalO/U 166.5 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 173.5 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
36%45%55%64%Korfez Basket 43%Trabzonspor 57%
spread · Korfez Basket
+3+4+3 → +3
Total (over/under)
164.5165.5166.5168.5171172.5166.5 → 173.5

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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