New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 249 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 249 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before tip-off. Denver Nuggets opened as the favorite at 1.53 (-189) and drifted to 1.57 (-176). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New Orleans Pelicans 37% → 38%, Denver Nuggets 63% → 62%. The spread held at New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 238.5 to 241. The sharpest single move came 21 h 35 min before tip-off: Denver Nuggets went from 63% to 65% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 2.65 (+165) | 2.57 (+157) |
| Denver Nuggets | 1.53 (-189) | 1.57 (-176) |
| spread | New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 · 1.96 (-104) | New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 · 1.97 (-103) |
| Total | O/U 238.5 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 241 · over 1.94 (-106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).