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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 9:10 PM ET · 260 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 260 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 22 h 35 min before tip-off. San Antonio Spurs opened as the favorite at 1.15 (-646) and shortened to 1.14 (-709). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Utah Jazz 17% → 15%, San Antonio Spurs 83% → 85%. The spread moved from Utah Jazz +12.5 to Utah Jazz +14. The total stayed at 233.5. The sharpest single move came 18 h 60 min before tip-off: Utah Jazz went from 17% to 18% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Utah Jazz5.79 (+479)6.42 (+542)
San Antonio Spurs1.15 (-646)1.14 (-709)
spreadUtah Jazz +12.5 · 1.89 (-112)Utah Jazz +14 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 233.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 233.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
3%34%66%97%Utah Jazz 15%San Antonio Spurs 85%
spread · Utah Jazz
+11.5+12+12.5+13+13.5+14+12.5 → +14
Total · no change in the recorded window (233.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).