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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 249 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 249 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before tip-off. Minnesota Timberwolves opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-151) and shortened to 1.63 (-158). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Timberwolves 58% → 60%, Golden State Warriors 42% → 40%. The spread moved from Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 to Minnesota Timberwolves -4. The total moved up from 224 to 227.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota Timberwolves1.66 (-151)1.63 (-158)
Golden State Warriors2.34 (+134)2.42 (+142)
spreadMinnesota Timberwolves -3.5 · 1.98 (-102)Minnesota Timberwolves -4 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 224 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 227.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
35%45%55%65%Minnesota Timberwolves 60%Golden State Warriors 40%
spread · Minnesota Timberwolves
-4-3.5-3.5 → -4
Total (over/under)
224227227.5228.5229229.5224 → 227.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).