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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 199 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 199 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 30 min before tip-off. Detroit Pistons opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-248) and shortened to 1.37 (-271). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Detroit Pistons 69% → 71%, Charlotte Hornets 31% → 29%. The spread moved from Detroit Pistons -6.5 to Detroit Pistons -7.5. The total moved down from 215.5 to 213. The sharpest single move came 10 h 15 min before tip-off: Charlotte Hornets went from 31% to 29% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Detroit Pistons1.40 (-248)1.37 (-271)
Charlotte Hornets3.11 (+211)3.35 (+235)
spreadDetroit Pistons -6.5 · 1.94 (-106)Detroit Pistons -7.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 215.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 213 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%40%60%80%Detroit Pistons 71%Charlotte Hornets 29%
spread · Detroit Pistons
-8-7.5-6.5-6-6.5 → -7.5
Total (over/under)
213214.5215.5215.5 → 213

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).