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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

FC Seoul vs Incheon United — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM KST · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 53 h 35 min before kickoff. FC Seoul opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-112) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Seoul 50% → 54%, draw 27% → 26%, Incheon United 23% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Seoul -0.5 to FC Seoul -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 40 min before kickoff: FC Seoul went from 52% to 55% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Seoul1.89 (-112)1.78 (-129)
Draw3.57 (+257)3.70 (+270)
Incheon United4.11 (+311)4.93 (+393)
Asian handicapFC Seoul -0.5 · 1.90 (-111)FC Seoul -0.75 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%46%63%FC Seoul 54%Draw 26%Incheon United 20%
Asian handicap · FC Seoul
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).