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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

Jeju SK vs Ulsan HD — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM KST · 489 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 489 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 55 h 15 min before kickoff. Ulsan HD opened as the favorite at 2.27 (+127) and shortened to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Jeju SK 31% → 29%, draw 27% → 26%, Ulsan HD 42% → 44%. The Asian handicap held at Jeju SK +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Ulsan HD went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Jeju SK3.04 (+204)3.30 (+230)
Draw3.57 (+257)3.66 (+266)
Ulsan HD2.27 (+127)2.19 (+119)
Asian handicapJeju SK +0.25 · 1.88 (-114)Jeju SK +0.25 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%32%40%49%Jeju SK 29%Draw 26%Ulsan HD 44%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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