Jeju SK vs Ulsan HD — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM KST · 489 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 489 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 55 h 15 min before kickoff. Ulsan HD opened as the favorite at 2.27 (+127) and shortened to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Jeju SK 31% → 29%, draw 27% → 26%, Ulsan HD 42% → 44%. The Asian handicap held at Jeju SK +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Ulsan HD went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Jeju SK | 3.04 (+204) | 3.30 (+230) |
| Draw | 3.57 (+257) | 3.66 (+266) |
| Ulsan HD | 2.27 (+127) | 2.19 (+119) |
| Asian handicap | Jeju SK +0.25 · 1.88 (-114) | Jeju SK +0.25 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-120) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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