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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM KST · 203 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 203 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 10 min before kickoff. Gimcheon Sangmu opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-168) and shortened to 1.53 (-188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gimcheon Sangmu 60% → 63%, draw 23% → 21%, Gwangju FC 17% → 16%. The Asian handicap held at Gimcheon Sangmu -1 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Gimcheon Sangmu1.60 (-168)1.53 (-188)
Draw4.16 (+316)4.52 (+352)
Gwangju FC5.66 (+466)6.08 (+508)
Asian handicapGimcheon Sangmu -1 · 2.07 (+107)Gimcheon Sangmu -1 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.75 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%28%50%72%Gimcheon Sangmu 63%Draw 21%Gwangju FC 16%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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