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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

Ulsan HD vs FC Seoul — odds movement

Sep 8, 2026 · 7:30 PM KST · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Seoul opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and shortened to 2.10 (+110). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ulsan HD 28% → 28%, draw 29% → 26%, FC Seoul 43% → 46%. The Asian handicap held at Ulsan HD +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: FC Seoul went from 50% to 46% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Ulsan HD3.42 (+242)3.47 (+247)
Draw3.27 (+227)3.70 (+270)
FC Seoul2.22 (+122)2.10 (+110)
Asian handicapUlsan HD +0.25 · 1.95 (-105)Ulsan HD +0.25 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%32%43%55%Ulsan HD 28%Draw 26%FC Seoul 46%
Asian handicap · Ulsan HD
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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