Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and shortened to 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 49% → 50%, draw 23% → 24%, Besiktas 28% → 26%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Hoffenheim
1.93 (-107)
1.92 (-109)
Draw
4.08 (+308)
4.01 (+301)
Besiktas
3.45 (+245)
3.78 (+278)
Asian handicap
Hoffenheim -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
Hoffenheim -0.5 · 1.93 (-108)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-113)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.