Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Sunderland opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-250) and shortened to 1.29 (-346). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Torreense 14% → 8%, draw 19% → 17%, Sunderland 68% → 75%. The Asian handicap moved from Torreense +1.25 to Torreense +1.5. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Sunderland went from 76% to 73% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Torreense
6.89 (+589)
11.41 (+1041)
Draw
5.05 (+405)
5.73 (+473)
Sunderland
1.40 (-250)
1.29 (-346)
Asian handicap
Torreense +1.25 · 2.00 (+100)
Torreense +1.5 · 2.02 (+102)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Torreense
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera