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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Marseille vs Olympiakos — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Marseille opened favored at 2.34 (+134), but by the last snapshot Olympiakos was the favorite at 2.57 (+157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Marseille 41% → 34%, draw 27% → 29%, Olympiakos 32% → 38%. The Asian handicap moved from Marseille -0.25 to Marseille 0. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Marseille went from 37% to 34% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Marseille2.34 (+134)2.87 (+187)
Draw3.51 (+251)3.38 (+238)
Olympiakos2.97 (+197)2.57 (+157)
Asian handicapMarseille -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)Marseille 0 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%31%37%44%Marseille 34%Draw 29%Olympiakos 38%
Asian handicap · Marseille
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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