Oct 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Fenerbahce opened as the favorite at 1.70 (-142) and shortened to 1.66 (-152). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Caykur Rizespor 21% → 20%, draw 23% → 22%, Fenerbahce 56% → 58%. The Asian handicap held at Caykur Rizespor +0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 8 h 25 min before kickoff: Fenerbahce went from 56% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Caykur Rizespor
4.48 (+348)
4.91 (+391)
Draw
4.09 (+309)
4.34 (+334)
Fenerbahce
1.70 (-142)
1.66 (-152)
Asian handicap
Caykur Rizespor +0.75 · 1.96 (-104)
Caykur Rizespor +0.75 · 2.09 (+109)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Caykur Rizespor
Total (over/under)
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