Mechelen vs Sint Truidense — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 5:15 PM UTC · 170 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 170 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 25 min before kickoff. Sint Truidense opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and drifted to 2.38 (+138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mechelen 28% → 32%, draw 28% → 28%, Sint Truidense 43% → 41%. The Asian handicap held at Mechelen +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Sint Truidense went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Mechelen | 3.39 (+239) | 3.04 (+204) |
| Draw | 3.41 (+241) | 3.51 (+251) |
| Sint Truidense | 2.22 (+122) | 2.38 (+138) |
| Asian handicap | Mechelen +0.25 · 1.97 (-103) | Mechelen +0.25 · 1.85 (-118) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).