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Mechelen vs Sint Truidense — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 5:15 PM UTC · 170 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 170 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 25 min before kickoff. Sint Truidense opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and drifted to 2.38 (+138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mechelen 28% → 32%, draw 28% → 28%, Sint Truidense 43% → 41%. The Asian handicap held at Mechelen +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Sint Truidense went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mechelen3.39 (+239)3.04 (+204)
Draw3.41 (+241)3.51 (+251)
Sint Truidense2.22 (+122)2.38 (+138)
Asian handicapMechelen +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)Mechelen +0.25 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%32%39%47%Mechelen 32%Draw 28%Sint Truidense 41%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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