Union Saint-Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 119 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 119 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 10 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 1.25 (-403) and drifted to 1.26 (-380). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Saint-Gilloise 76% → 75%, draw 16% → 17%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8% → 8%. The Asian handicap held at Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 4 h 10 min before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 77% to 76% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.25 (-403) | 1.26 (-380) |
| Draw | 6.02 (+502) | 5.69 (+469) |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 12.11 (+1111) | 12.08 (+1108) |
| Asian handicap | Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75 · 1.91 (-110) | Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75 · 2.03 (+103) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106) | O/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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