Scan with your phone camera Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — odds movement
Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Motherwell opened as the favorite at 2.20 (+120) and drifted to 2.35 (+135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kilmarnock 31% → 33%, draw 26% → 26%, Motherwell 44% → 41%. The Asian handicap held at Kilmarnock +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 20 min before kickoff: Motherwell went from 43% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Kilmarnock | 3.15 (+215) | 2.97 (+197) |
| Draw | 3.74 (+274) | 3.69 (+269) |
| Motherwell | 2.20 (+120) | 2.35 (+135) |
| Asian handicap | Kilmarnock +0.25 · 1.96 (-104) | Kilmarnock +0.25 · 1.85 (-117) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).