Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Manchester United opened as the favorite at 2.13 (+113) and drifted to 2.45 (+145). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Manchester United 45% → 40%, draw 26% → 28%, Bournemouth 29% → 32%. The Asian handicap moved from Manchester United -0.5 to Manchester United -0.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 5 min before kickoff: Manchester United went from 42% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Manchester United
2.13 (+113)
2.45 (+145)
Draw
3.71 (+271)
3.48 (+248)
Bournemouth
3.39 (+239)
3.01 (+201)
Asian handicap
Manchester United -0.5 · 2.14 (+114)
Manchester United -0.25 · 2.12 (+112)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.09 (+109)
O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Manchester United
Total (over/under)
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