Oct 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM UK · 605 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 605 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Aston Villa opened as the favorite at 1.99 (-101) and drifted to 2.16 (+116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Aston Villa 49% → 45%, draw 26% → 27%, Fulham 26% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from Aston Villa -0.5 to Aston Villa -0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 10 h 25 min before kickoff: Aston Villa went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Aston Villa
1.99 (-101)
2.16 (+116)
Draw
3.77 (+277)
3.60 (+260)
Fulham
3.76 (+276)
3.53 (+253)
Asian handicap
Aston Villa -0.5 · 2.00 (+100)
Aston Villa -0.25 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Aston Villa
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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