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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 635 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 635 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Bayer Leverkusen opened as the favorite at 2.34 (+134) and shortened to 2.08 (+108). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 35% → 30%, draw 24% → 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 41% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hoffenheim2.79 (+179)3.24 (+224)
Draw4.04 (+304)4.18 (+318)
Bayer Leverkusen2.34 (+134)2.08 (+108)
Asian handicapHoffenheim +0.25 · 1.85 (-118)Hoffenheim +0.25 · 2.09 (+109)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 3.5 · over 1.79 (-127)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%30%41%53%Hoffenheim 30%Draw 23%Bayer Leverkusen 47%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).