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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Estoril vs Moreirense — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 3:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Estoril opened as the favorite at 1.95 (-105) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estoril 49% → 51%, draw 27% → 27%, Moreirense 25% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Estoril -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 10 min before kickoff: Estoril went from 49% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Estoril1.95 (-105)1.88 (-114)
Draw3.56 (+256)3.55 (+255)
Moreirense3.85 (+285)4.52 (+352)
Asian handicapEstoril -0.5 · 1.96 (-104)Estoril -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.5 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%45%61%Estoril 51%Draw 27%Moreirense 21%
Asian handicap · Estoril
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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