Estoril vs Moreirense — odds movement
Oct 25, 2026 · 3:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Estoril opened as the favorite at 1.95 (-105) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estoril 49% → 51%, draw 27% → 27%, Moreirense 25% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Estoril -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 10 min before kickoff: Estoril went from 49% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Estoril | 1.95 (-105) | 1.88 (-114) |
| Draw | 3.56 (+256) | 3.55 (+255) |
| Moreirense | 3.85 (+285) | 4.52 (+352) |
| Asian handicap | Estoril -0.5 · 1.96 (-104) | Estoril -0.5 · 1.89 (-113) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 2.5 · over 2.02 (+102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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