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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga ● Live

Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora — odds movement

Oct 31, 2026 · 3:30 PM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 20 min before kickoff. Estrela da Amadora opened as the favorite at 2.57 (+157) and shortened to 2.43 (+143). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Moreirense 33% → 30%, draw 30% → 30%, Estrela da Amadora 37% → 40%. The Asian handicap moved from Moreirense 0 to Moreirense +0.25. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Moreirense2.87 (+187)3.21 (+221)
Draw3.23 (+223)3.26 (+226)
Estrela da Amadora2.57 (+157)2.43 (+143)
Asian handicapMoreirense 0 · 2.04 (+104)Moreirense +0.25 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%32%37%42%Moreirense 30%Draw 30%Estrela da Amadora 40%
Asian handicap · Moreirense
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).