Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 596 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 596 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Marseille opened as the favorite at 2.01 (+101) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sturm Graz 27% → 23%, draw 26% → 26%, Marseille 47% → 51%. The Asian handicap held at Sturm Graz +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Sturm Graz
3.57 (+257)
4.27 (+327)
Draw
3.66 (+266)
3.73 (+273)
Marseille
2.01 (+101)
1.88 (-114)
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz +0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Sturm Graz +0.5 · 2.03 (+103)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera