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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 596 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 596 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 1.31 (-325) and drifted to 1.41 (-244). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Saint-Gilloise 72% → 68%, draw 17% → 19%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 11% → 13%. The Asian handicap moved from Union Saint-Gilloise -1.5 to Union Saint-Gilloise -1.25. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 33 h 60 min before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 73% to 71% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Union Saint-Gilloise1.31 (-325)1.41 (-244)
Draw5.73 (+473)5.04 (+404)
Hapoel Beer Sheva8.49 (+749)7.66 (+666)
Asian handicapUnion Saint-Gilloise -1.5 · 1.83 (-121)Union Saint-Gilloise -1.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-0%28%56%84%Union Saint-Gilloise 68%Draw 19%Hapoel Beer Sheva 13%
Asian handicap · Union Saint-Gilloise
-1.5-1.25-1.5 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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