Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 452 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 452 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. AZ Alkmaar opened as the favorite at 1.53 (-189) and shortened to 1.39 (-259). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ararat-Armenia 17% → 13%, draw 21% → 18%, AZ Alkmaar 62% → 69%. The Asian handicap moved from Ararat-Armenia +1 to Ararat-Armenia +1.5. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 12 h 35 min before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar went from 64% to 65% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Ararat-Armenia
5.55 (+455)
7.67 (+667)
Draw
4.50 (+350)
5.35 (+435)
AZ Alkmaar
1.53 (-189)
1.39 (-259)
Asian handicap
Ararat-Armenia +1 · 1.98 (-102)
Ararat-Armenia +1.5 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Ararat-Armenia
Total (over/under)
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