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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Monterrey vs Chivas Guadalajara — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Monterrey opened as the favorite at 2.53 (+153) and shortened to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monterrey 38% → 42%, draw 30% → 29%, Chivas Guadalajara 32% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from Monterrey 0 to Monterrey -0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 15 min before kickoff: the draw went from 32% to 30% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Monterrey2.53 (+153)2.33 (+133)
Draw3.14 (+214)3.33 (+233)
Chivas Guadalajara2.99 (+199)3.29 (+229)
Asian handicapMonterrey 0 · 1.78 (-129)Monterrey -0.25 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 2.75 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%32%38%44%Monterrey 42%Draw 29%Chivas Guadalajara 29%
Asian handicap · Monterrey
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.75

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