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Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 6:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Galatasaray opened as the favorite at 2.18 (+118) and shortened to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Galatasaray 44% → 48%, draw 25% → 24%, Fenerbahce 31% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from Galatasaray -0.25 to Galatasaray -0.5. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Galatasaray2.18 (+118)2.01 (+101)
Draw3.80 (+280)3.99 (+299)
Fenerbahce3.05 (+205)3.50 (+250)
Asian handicapGalatasaray -0.25 · 1.92 (-109)Galatasaray -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%31%42%54%Galatasaray 48%Draw 24%Fenerbahce 28%
Asian handicap · Galatasaray
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).