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Pinar Karsiyaka vs Fenerbahce — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 143 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 143 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 10 min before tip-off. Fenerbahce opened as the favorite at 1.15 (-680) and drifted to 1.19 (-517). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pinar Karsiyaka 22% → 25%, Fenerbahce 78% → 75%. The spread moved from Pinar Karsiyaka +9.5 to Pinar Karsiyaka +8.5. The total stayed at 163.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 50 min before tip-off: Fenerbahce went from 77% to 74% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pinar Karsiyaka4.02 (+302)3.58 (+258)
Fenerbahce1.15 (-680)1.19 (-517)
spreadPinar Karsiyaka +9.5 · 1.79 (-127)Pinar Karsiyaka +8.5 · 1.76 (-132)
TotalO/U 163.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 163.5 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%37%63%88%Pinar Karsiyaka 25%Fenerbahce 75%
spread · Pinar Karsiyaka
+7.5+8.5+9.5+9.5 → +8.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (163.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).