Oct 27, 2026 · 6:15 PM UTC · 86 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 86 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Hilal opened as the favorite at 1.43 (-230) and drifted to 1.89 (-112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al-Shamal 16% → 27%, draw 18% → 23%, Al-Hilal 66% → 50%. The Asian handicap moved from Al-Shamal +1.25 to Al-Shamal +0.5. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 60 min before kickoff: Al-Hilal went from 57% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Al-Shamal
5.88 (+488)
3.49 (+249)
Draw
5.27 (+427)
4.20 (+320)
Al-Hilal
1.43 (-230)
1.89 (-112)
Asian handicap
Al-Shamal +1.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Al-Shamal +0.5 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)
O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Al-Shamal
Total (over/under)
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