Oct 27, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Kyoto Sanga opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-225) and shortened to 1.39 (-256). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kyoto Sanga 65% → 68%, draw 17% → 17%, Newcastle Jets 18% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Kyoto Sanga -1.25 to Kyoto Sanga -1.5. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 3 h 10 min before kickoff: Kyoto Sanga went from 66% to 64% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kyoto Sanga
1.44 (-225)
1.39 (-256)
Draw
5.56 (+456)
5.47 (+447)
Newcastle Jets
5.40 (+440)
6.42 (+542)
Asian handicap
Kyoto Sanga -1.25 · 1.87 (-115)
Kyoto Sanga -1.5 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.91 (-110)
O/U 3.5 · over 2.02 (+102)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kyoto Sanga
Total (over/under)
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