Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nashville SC opened as the favorite at 1.91 (-110) and shortened to 1.76 (-131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nashville SC 50% → 55%, draw 24% → 23%, Philadelphia Union 26% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Nashville SC -0.5 to Nashville SC -0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 39 h 40 min before kickoff: Nashville SC went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Nashville SC
1.91 (-110)
1.76 (-131)
Draw
3.94 (+294)
4.13 (+313)
Philadelphia Union
3.65 (+265)
4.42 (+342)
Asian handicap
Nashville SC -0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
Nashville SC -0.75 · 1.99 (-101)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116)
O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Nashville SC
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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