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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 632 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 632 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. San Jose Earthquakes opened as the favorite at 2.18 (+118) and drifted to 2.44 (+144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Jose Earthquakes 44% → 40%, draw 26% → 27%, Colorado Rapids 31% → 33%. The Asian handicap held at San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 40 min before kickoff: San Jose Earthquakes went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Jose Earthquakes2.18 (+118)2.44 (+144)
Draw3.69 (+269)3.62 (+262)
Colorado Rapids3.11 (+211)2.91 (+191)
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes -0.25 · 1.92 (-109)San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 · 2.12 (+112)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 2.75 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%31%39%48%San Jose Earthquakes 40%Draw 27%Colorado Rapids 33%
Asian handicap · San Jose Earthquakes
-0.250-0.25 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).