Nov 3, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 407 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 407 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Mirassol opened as the favorite at 1.98 (-102) and drifted to 2.06 (+106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chapecoense 27% → 26%, draw 25% → 27%, Mirassol 48% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Chapecoense +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 18 h 35 min before kickoff: Mirassol went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Chapecoense
3.58 (+258)
3.69 (+269)
Draw
3.80 (+280)
3.64 (+264)
Mirassol
1.98 (-102)
2.06 (+106)
Asian handicap
Chapecoense +0.5 · 1.87 (-115)
Chapecoense +0.5 · 1.85 (-118)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)
O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Chapecoense
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera