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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Bragantino vs Santos — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 30 min before kickoff. Bragantino opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and shortened to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bragantino 47% → 49%, draw 25% → 23%, Santos 28% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at Bragantino -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 18 h 45 min before kickoff: Bragantino went from 44% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bragantino2.05 (+105)1.96 (-104)
Draw3.81 (+281)4.22 (+322)
Santos3.37 (+237)3.50 (+250)
Asian handicapBragantino -0.5 · 2.06 (+106)Bragantino -0.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%30%42%54%Bragantino 49%Draw 23%Santos 28%
Asian handicap · Bragantino
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3

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