Bahia vs Sao Paulo — odds movement
Oct 29, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Bahia opened as the favorite at 2.02 (+102) and shortened to 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bahia 47% → 50%, draw 27% → 26%, Sao Paulo 26% → 24%. The Asian handicap held at Bahia -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Bahia | 2.02 (+102) | 1.92 (-109) |
| Draw | 3.57 (+257) | 3.76 (+276) |
| Sao Paulo | 3.64 (+264) | 4.06 (+306) |
| Asian handicap | Bahia -0.5 · 2.03 (+103) | Bahia -0.5 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-120) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).