Santos vs Palmeiras — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 2.32 (+132) and shortened to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos 31% → 25%, draw 28% → 26%, Palmeiras 41% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos +0.25 to Santos +0.5. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 45% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Santos | 3.11 (+211) | 3.84 (+284) |
| Draw | 3.39 (+239) | 3.76 (+276) |
| Palmeiras | 2.32 (+132) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Asian handicap | Santos +0.25 · 1.85 (-117) | Santos +0.5 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).