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Fluminense vs Internacional — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 1.86 (-116) and shortened to 1.79 (-126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fluminense 51% → 54%, draw 26% → 26%, Internacional 22% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from Fluminense -0.5 to Fluminense -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 20 h 60 min before kickoff: Fluminense went from 51% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fluminense1.86 (-116)1.79 (-126)
Draw3.60 (+260)3.76 (+276)
Internacional4.24 (+324)4.73 (+373)
Asian handicapFluminense -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)Fluminense -0.75 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 2.5 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%45%60%Fluminense 54%Draw 26%Internacional 20%
Asian handicap · Fluminense
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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