Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli — odds movement
Nov 2, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 86 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 86 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ahli opened as the favorite at 2.30 (+130) and shortened to 2.26 (+126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al Sadd 33% → 33%, draw 25% → 24%, Al-Ahli 42% → 42%. The Asian handicap held at Al Sadd +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 1 h 20 min before kickoff: Al-Ahli went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Al Sadd | 2.86 (+186) | 2.87 (+187) |
| Draw | 3.85 (+285) | 3.93 (+293) |
| Al-Ahli | 2.30 (+130) | 2.26 (+126) |
| Asian handicap | Al Sadd +0.25 · 1.85 (-118) | Al Sadd +0.25 · 1.86 (-116) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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