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Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 86 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 86 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ahli opened as the favorite at 2.30 (+130) and shortened to 2.26 (+126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al Sadd 33% → 33%, draw 25% → 24%, Al-Ahli 42% → 42%. The Asian handicap held at Al Sadd +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 1 h 20 min before kickoff: Al-Ahli went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Al Sadd2.86 (+186)2.87 (+187)
Draw3.85 (+285)3.93 (+293)
Al-Ahli2.30 (+130)2.26 (+126)
Asian handicapAl Sadd +0.25 · 1.85 (-118)Al Sadd +0.25 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%29%37%46%Al Sadd 33%Draw 24%Al-Ahli 42%
Asian handicap · Al Sadd
0+0.25+0.25 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).