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Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port — odds movement

Nov 3, 2026 · 7:45 AM UTC · 113 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 113 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Shanghai Port opened as the favorite at 1.81 (-123) and shortened to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Newcastle Jets 24% → 23%, draw 23% → 22%, Shanghai Port 53% → 54%. The Asian handicap held at Newcastle Jets +0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 55 min before kickoff: Shanghai Port went from 53% to 51% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Newcastle Jets3.95 (+295)4.06 (+306)
Draw4.11 (+311)4.32 (+332)
Shanghai Port1.81 (-123)1.75 (-133)
Asian handicapNewcastle Jets +0.75 · 1.83 (-120)Newcastle Jets +0.75 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
16%31%46%60%Newcastle Jets 23%Draw 22%Shanghai Port 54%
Asian handicap · Newcastle Jets
+0.5+0.75+0.75 → +0.75
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.5

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