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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Stuttgart vs FC Koln — odds movement

Sep 4, 2026 · 6:30 PM UTC · 563 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 563 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 53 h 10 min before kickoff. Stuttgart opened as the favorite at 1.54 (-185) and shortened to 1.44 (-226). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Stuttgart 63% → 67%, draw 19% → 18%, FC Koln 18% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Stuttgart -1 to Stuttgart -1.25. The total stayed at 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Stuttgart1.54 (-185)1.44 (-226)
Draw4.95 (+395)5.27 (+427)
FC Koln5.37 (+437)6.59 (+559)
Asian handicapStuttgart -1 · 1.86 (-116)Stuttgart -1.25 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%29%53%76%Stuttgart 67%Draw 18%FC Koln 15%
Asian handicap · Stuttgart
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).