Oct 11, 2026 · 3:30 PM UTC · 620 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 620 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Freiburg opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-151) and drifted to 1.73 (-137). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Freiburg 58% → 56%, draw 24% → 24%, Schalke 04 18% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at Freiburg -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Freiburg
1.66 (-151)
1.73 (-137)
Draw
3.94 (+294)
3.98 (+298)
Schalke 04
5.50 (+450)
4.90 (+390)
Asian handicap
Freiburg -0.75 · 1.84 (-119)
Freiburg -0.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.82 (-122)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Freiburg
Total (over/under)
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