Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 646 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 646 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-225) and shortened to 1.44 (-226). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 67% → 67%, draw 20% → 18%, Hamburger SV 14% → 14%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim -1.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hoffenheim | 1.44 (-225) | 1.44 (-226) |
| Draw | 4.92 (+392) | 5.25 (+425) |
| Hamburger SV | 7.03 (+603) | 6.74 (+574) |
| Asian handicap | Hoffenheim -1.25 · 1.89 (-112) | Hoffenheim -1.25 · 1.90 (-111) |
| Total | O/U 3.5 · over 2.04 (+104) | O/U 3.5 · over 1.99 (-101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).