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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 486 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 486 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 61 h 45 min before kickoff. Bayern Munich opened as the favorite at 1.16 (-620) and drifted to 1.21 (-470). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Schalke 04 6% → 8%, draw 11% → 12%, Bayern Munich 83% → 80%. The Asian handicap held at Schalke 04 +2.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 4 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Bayern Munich went from 84% to 81% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Schalke 0414.99 (+1399)12.75 (+1175)
Draw8.82 (+782)7.90 (+690)
Bayern Munich1.16 (-620)1.21 (-470)
Asian handicapSchalke 04 +2.25 · 2.05 (+105)Schalke 04 +2.25 · 1.85 (-117)
TotalO/U 4 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 3.75 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-8%27%63%98%Schalke 04 8%Draw 12%Bayern Munich 80%
Asian handicap · Schalke 04
+2.25+2.5+2.25 → +2.25
Total (over/under)
3.7544 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).