Sep 5, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 486 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 486 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 57 h 5 min before kickoff. Freiburg opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and shortened to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paderborn 28% → 26%, draw 25% → 25%, Freiburg 47% → 49%. The Asian handicap held at Paderborn +0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Paderborn
3.48 (+248)
3.80 (+280)
Draw
3.85 (+285)
3.88 (+288)
Freiburg
2.05 (+105)
1.96 (-104)
Asian handicap
Paderborn +0.5 · 1.85 (-117)
Paderborn +0.5 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 3 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
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