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Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 287 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 287 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 10 min before kickoff. Kocaelispor opened as the favorite at 2.59 (+159) and shortened to 2.34 (+134). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kocaelispor 37% → 41%, draw 33% → 32%, Samsunspor 30% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from Kocaelispor 0 to Kocaelispor -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 15 h 20 min before kickoff: Kocaelispor went from 38% to 39% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kocaelispor2.59 (+159)2.34 (+134)
Draw2.90 (+190)3.01 (+201)
Samsunspor3.13 (+213)3.66 (+266)
Asian handicapKocaelispor 0 · 1.76 (-131)Kocaelispor -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 2.25 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%31%38%46%Kocaelispor 41%Draw 32%Samsunspor 26%
Asian handicap · Kocaelispor
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).