Sep 6, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 287 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 287 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 10 min before kickoff. Kocaelispor opened as the favorite at 2.59 (+159) and shortened to 2.34 (+134). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kocaelispor 37% → 41%, draw 33% → 32%, Samsunspor 30% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from Kocaelispor 0 to Kocaelispor -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 15 h 20 min before kickoff: Kocaelispor went from 38% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kocaelispor
2.59 (+159)
2.34 (+134)
Draw
2.90 (+190)
3.01 (+201)
Samsunspor
3.13 (+213)
3.66 (+266)
Asian handicap
Kocaelispor 0 · 1.76 (-131)
Kocaelispor -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 2.00 (+100)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.01 (+101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kocaelispor
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.