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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 7:45 PM UK · 80 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 80 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 60 min before kickoff. St Mirren opened as the favorite at 2.39 (+139) and drifted to 2.50 (+150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kilmarnock 33% → 35%, draw 26% → 26%, St Mirren 41% → 39%. The Asian handicap moved from Kilmarnock +0.25 to Kilmarnock 0. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kilmarnock2.92 (+192)2.75 (+175)
Draw3.68 (+268)3.69 (+269)
St Mirren2.39 (+139)2.50 (+150)
Asian handicapKilmarnock +0.25 · 1.83 (-120)Kilmarnock 0 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%30%37%43%Kilmarnock 35%Draw 26%St Mirren 39%
Asian handicap · Kilmarnock
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).